Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2.999456 3.525714 4.085647 4.722582 5.423852 6.169368 7.018775
2025-01-12 2.203846 2.917824 3.735692 4.728051 5.885895 7.181203 8.726767
2025-01-19 1.614524 2.408502 3.385216 4.641755 6.182744 7.980267 10.204415
2025-01-26 1.264577 2.110792 3.221332 4.723568 6.642532 8.955796 11.898410
2025-02-02 1.005274 1.874156 3.086687 4.802860 7.073944 9.888305 13.550307
2025-02-09 0.750570 1.586522 2.834153 4.685084 7.222619 10.452644 14.746815
2025-02-16 0.557628 1.347083 2.608878 4.568081 7.344055 10.964586 15.870649
2025-02-23 0.434701 1.193663 2.485631 4.573322 7.615021 11.662609 17.232884
2025-03-02 0.322905 1.028653 2.316963 4.488323 7.743486 12.163026 18.338480
2025-03-09 0.274792 0.978630 2.329688 4.673921 8.256156 13.184513 20.139372
2025-03-16 0.211547 0.874673 2.232380 4.674061 8.492126 13.827802 21.445072
2025-03-23 0.185773 0.853136 2.280289 4.907357 9.075937 14.958904 23.418003
2025-03-30 0.157655 0.818463 2.302499 5.104615 9.621314 16.062175 25.393593
2025-04-06 0.124519 0.756171 2.262106 5.192070 10.001268 16.941010 27.081284
2025-04-13 0.088301 0.664043 2.146045 5.137572 10.155768 17.499197 28.336835
2025-04-20 0.068911 0.619166 2.122810 5.242749 10.560196 18.420441 30.103648
2025-04-27 0.052783 0.575878 2.095631 5.336035 10.944600 19.315758 31.842889
2025-05-04 0.032625 0.492240 1.958867 5.213201 10.971481 19.684195 32.846443
2025-05-11 0.018668 0.418155 1.828724 5.089035 10.985942 20.028480 33.814893
2025-05-18 0.011557 0.374821 1.768792 5.095452 11.214228 20.692028 35.241441
2025-05-25 0.005652 0.320517 1.665551 5.004305 11.270506 21.093380 36.294576
2025-06-01 0.004206 0.314533 1.702462 5.204224 11.830416 22.267617 38.471573
2025-06-08 0.001971 0.280744 1.647009 5.204453 12.041936 22.910161 39.885701